ap indy
ap indy

A.P. Indy

(Photo : NYC/Karen Kasper)

“Top 5% of North American

and European Sires”

bill oppenheim
bill oppenheim

Bill Oppenheim Thoroughbred Daily NewsEach year there are between 1,000 - 1,100 sires in North America, Europe, and Japan who are assigned APEX ratings.

When we talk about a “World Top 12”, therefore - given that we do know we’re really only talking about North American and European sires on the world’s number one international circuit - we are essentially saying, these are the top two percent of sires. When we say “World Top 30,” practically speaking it is the top five percent of sires. I don’t mean to diss the top Southern Hemisphere and Japanese sires, but they aren’t really on this number one international circuit, so, practically speaking, the “World Top 30” is the top five percent of available proven sires in North America and Europe with foals three years old and up.

A.P. Indy sired 9.76 percent top-two-percent earners in the major racing countries covered; Galileo sired 7.50 percent top-two-percent earners; Dynaformer, 5.32 percent; Elusive Quality and Invincible Spirit 3.62 percent. The second figure is the career percentage of “unique” A Runners to named foals of racing age. So, since his first foals raced in 1996, 14.15 percent of the named foals of racing age by A.P. Indy became A Runners in at least one year. That’s an astronomical percentage. As you can see, most younger sires from the “Big-Book Era” have considerably lower percentages. A Runners roughly equate to listed winners and above. A few years ago, if you’ll remember, our research indicated “six percent is the new 10 percent,” and six percent is the yardstick I use now for this category.

I will note that all of the current World Top 12 have A Runner indices above 2.50, and, with a couple of exceptions, their percentage of unique A Runners to foals is above seven percent. The two exceptions are Coolmore sires Danehill Dancer (6.77 percent with huge crops starting with impossible mares - this is a lifetime statistic, remember) and Montjeu (6.63 percent, but with a severe colt bias). Obviously those numbers don’t guarantee you a spot among the World Top 12, but you just about can’t get there without them. They are what are called “necessary, but not sufficient” conditions for inclusion.

As you’ll see from my (admittedly subjective) table, the first four Kentucky sires I’ve listed in the “World Next 18” portion of the table all do have A indexes of 2.50 - plus, and all have eight percent-plus unique A Runners from foals. I can’t really explain the voodoo which tells me where a sire really rates, but there must be hundreds of industry professionals who are compiling similar lists, using their own voodoo. As noted last week, I now think the balance of power among the world top 12 has shifted from North America (now five of the top 12) to Europe (now seven). But in the second tier, I counted 12 Kentucky sires, against five from Europe. Oh yes, that means one slot is open for reader input. There are 30 slots in the World Top 30, and I have only filled 29 of them. Who else deserves to be in (and no, you can’t kick out some of mine to make more room - just one opening for now)?

It’s also interesting that the two F2005 sires (first foals now five-year-olds) are both European, top 12 sire Oasis Dream and top 30 sire Dalakhani. Then the four top F2006 sires (first foals now four-year-olds), all Top 30 sires at the moment, are all North American: Medaglia d’Oro, Speightstown, Tapit, and Candy Ride; and the two F2007 sires (first three-year-olds; rarely are sires from this category included in these lists), both Darley European sires, are: newest world top 12 sire Dubawi, and newest world top 30 sire Shamardal.

Interesting, too, that Coolmore (Galileo, Montjeu, Danehill Dancer, Giant’s Causeway) leads Darley (Street Cry, Dubawi) four to two among the World Top 12, but in the remainder of the World Top 30, there are four Darley sires (Elusive Quality, Medaglia d’Oro, Cape Cross, and Shamardal), but none for Coolmore.

THE WORLD TOP 12 STALLIONS

Sire

Farm

Index*

Apex A

A’s-Fls

Pct

2010 Fee

Ring

Sold 2010

$ Average

Yearlings

A.P. INDY

Lane’s End

4.88

14.15

150,000

28

19

544,736

SMART STRIKE

Lane’s End

3.16

9.41

75,000

40

34

252,037

DISTORTED HUMOR

Winstar

2.69

10.69

100,000

29

26

381,153

GIANT’S CAUSEWAY

Coolmore

3.09

9.11

100,000

73

54

161,483

STREET CRY

Darley

2.96

9.90

150,000

40

34

282,752

GALILEO

Coolmore

3.75

8.91

private

62

47

422,698

MONTJEU

Coolmore

2.71

6.63

private

34

28

244,891

DANEHILL DANCER

Coolmore

2.68

6.77

private

42

38

186,145

DANSILI

Juddmonte

2.66

7.10

65,000

32

26

231,147

OASIS DREAM

Juddmonte

3.19

9.25

65,000

52

45

224,995

PIVOTAL

Cheveley Park

2.58

7.46

65,000

46

37

168,152

DUBAWI

Darley

2.76

7.63

20,000

37

33

174,257

REMAINDER OF WORLD TOP 30 STALLIONS

Sire

Farm

Index*

Apex A

A’s-Fls

Pct

2010 Fee ($)

Ring

Sold 2010

$ Average

Yearlings

DYNAFORMER

3 Chimneys

2.66

8.42

150,000

25

18

277,284

UNBRIDLED’S SONG

Taylor Made

2.97

8.17

115,000

64

49

181,204

PULPIT

Claiborne

2.50

8.26

60,000

36

26

155,500

AWESOME AGAIN

Adena Springs

2.84

8.03

50,000

50

34

92,071

ELUSIVE QUALITY

Darley

1.81

5.90

75,000

72

54

93,292

INDIAN CHARLIE

Airdrie

2.04

5.76

70,000

56

41

137,231

MALIBU MOON

Spendthrift

2.24

5.92

40,000

81

57

157,184

TIZNOW

Winstar

2.53

6.84

75,000

70

49

159,285

MEDAGLIA D’ORO

Darley

3.68

8.33

100,000

57

43

148,383

SPEIGHTSTOWN

Winstar

4.08

9.74

35,000

57

38

93,311

TAPIT

Gainesway

3.58

12.07

50,000

43

34

120,470

CANDY RIDE

Lane’s End

3.70

5.99

25,000

24

14

93,035

MONSUN

Schlenderhan

3.72

10.16

private

11

8

207,928

CAPE CROSS

Darley

1.93

4.55

35,000

64

52

90,819

DALAKHANI

Gilltown

3.92

7.65

50,000

37

24

109,772

INVINCIBLE SPIRIT

Irish National

1.81

5.53

45,000

40

35

146,255

SHAMARDAL

Darley

2.87

6.78

20,000

51

41

101,056

Extract from Thoroughbred Daily News

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